Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Zambia: A Mathematical Model

Eddie M. Mulenga

doi:10.29333/aquademia/8375

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Eddie M. Mulenga ¹ ^*

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¹ PhD Candidate, School of Doctoral Studies, University of Valladolid, SPAIN^* Corresponding Author

Abstract

There has been a cumulative increase in the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases, recoveries as well as deaths in Zambia as declared by the Ministry of Health on regular basis. Based on the available statistical information, this article will discuss a mathematical model concerning the spread of COVID-19 in Zambia. To predict the spread of COVID-19 in Zambian provinces, a multiple regression analysis describing the inter-play of factors influencing the increase in the number of cases is used to formalize the relationship. To ascertain the accuracy of the mathematical model used, exponential graphs regarding the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19) since its arrival over time in Zambia were obtained.

Keywords

COVID-19
Mathematical model
predictor variables
regression model
infection rate
fatality rate
susceptible population

License

This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Article Type: Research Article

AQUADEMIA, 2020, Volume 4, Issue 2, Article No: ep20019

https://doi.org/10.29333/aquademia/8375

Publication date: 30 Jun 2020

Article Views: 2600

Article Downloads: 1832

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How to cite this article

APA

Mulenga, E. M. (2020). Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Zambia: A Mathematical Model. Aquademia, 4(2), ep20019. https://doi.org/10.29333/aquademia/8375

Vancouver

Mulenga EM. Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Zambia: A Mathematical Model. AQUADEMIA. 2020;4(2):ep20019. https://doi.org/10.29333/aquademia/8375

AMA

Mulenga EM. Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Zambia: A Mathematical Model. AQUADEMIA. 2020;4(2), ep20019. https://doi.org/10.29333/aquademia/8375

Chicago

Mulenga, Eddie M.. "Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Zambia: A Mathematical Model". Aquademia 2020 4 no. 2 (2020): ep20019. https://doi.org/10.29333/aquademia/8375

Harvard

Mulenga, E. M. (2020). Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Zambia: A Mathematical Model. Aquademia, 4(2), ep20019. https://doi.org/10.29333/aquademia/8375

MLA

Mulenga, Eddie M. "Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Zambia: A Mathematical Model". Aquademia, vol. 4, no. 2, 2020, ep20019. https://doi.org/10.29333/aquademia/8375